Gold Falls as War-Driven Inflation Fears Fuel Rate-Hike Bets

Author: Murat Tekinay

Gold Prices Decline as War and Inflation Fears Boost Rate Hike Expectations

Gold prices fell more than 1% on Tuesday, pressured by bets of higher U.S. interest rates this year as renewed U.S. military strikes on Iran dampened hopes for a peace deal, pushed up oil prices, and revived inflation concerns. Investors moved away from gold amid expectations of tighter monetary policy.

Markets Focus on Fed Rate Hike

Spot gold was down 1.3% at $4,511.23 per ounce as of 11:05 a.m. EDT. U.S. gold futures for June delivery fell 0.2% to $4,513.90. Jim Wyckoff, market analyst at American Gold Exchange, noted that bond markets are pricing in a rate increase by the Federal Reserve, which is negative for gold.

Oil Prices and Inflation Worries

Brent crude rose more than 4% amid uncertainty over a U.S.-Iran deal and shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Rising oil prices feed into inflation as manufacturers pass on higher costs. Markets are closely watching the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index due on Thursday.

Technical Selling and UBS Gold Forecast

Wyckoff added that near-term technicals favor the bears, prompting technical selling. UBS lowered its year-end gold price target by $400 to $5,500 due to risks from higher yields and a stronger dollar. Silver fell 2.3%, platinum lost 1.3%, and palladium shed 1.3%.

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Gold Falls as War-Driven Inflation Fears Fuel Rate-Hike Bets - FiNews