Asia Shares Hesitate as Gulf Tensions Persist

Author: Ethan Smith

Asia Shares Hesitate as Gulf Tensions Persist

Asian shares turned cautious on Thursday after a fresh U.S. military strike in Iran dampened hopes for a near-term peace deal. Oil prices bounced 2% and Treasury yields edged higher.

Markets Cautious

Japan's Nikkei fell 0.2%, South Korea's KOSPI was flat. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares dipped 0.1%. S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures added 0.1%.

Oil Prices Rise

Brent crude rebounded 2.3% to $96.50 a barrel, while U.S. crude added 2.2% to $90.59. Transits of the Strait of Hormuz remain at a trickle.

Inflation Data in Focus

U.S. core PCE inflation is expected to rise 0.3% to an annual 3.3%, well above the Fed's 2% target. Markets imply a 50-50 chance of a quarter-point rate hike by year-end.

Dollar Strengthens

The dollar index traded at 99.291. The dollar crept to a four-week top on the yen at 159.57, nearing the 160.00 barrier. The euro was a shade lower at $1.1620.

Gold Eases

Gold eased 0.3% to $4,445 an ounce, with limited safe-haven demand.

Impacted Symbols

Symbols affected by this headline and their sentiment signals

CL
CL1!Positive

Oil prices rose 2% due to US strike on Iran and uncertainty over Strait of Hormuz. Directly impacted commodity.

Impact score90%
US
US10YPositive

United States 10 Year Government Bonds Yield

Higher oil prices lifted inflation expectations, pushing yields up. Moderate impact.

Impact score70%
NI
NI225Negative

Japan 225 Index

Nikkei dipped 0.2% due to geopolitical risks and cautious sentiment. Limited impact.

Impact score40%
KO
KOSPINeutral

KOSPI Composite Index

KOSPI was flat with no direct impact from the news. Weak sectoral link.

Impact score20%
FE
FESX1!Negative

EUROSTOXX 50 futures slipped 0.2% due to geopolitical risks and inflation concerns. Indirect impact.

Impact score30%
DA
DAX1!Negative

DAX futures slipped 0.2% due to geopolitical risks and inflation concerns. Indirect impact.

Impact score30%
Z1
Z1!Negative

FTSE futures lost 0.3% due to geopolitical risks and inflation concerns. Indirect impact.

Impact score30%
ES
ES1!Neutral

S&P 500 futures edged up 0.1%, no clear direction from the news. Awaiting PCE data.

Impact score20%
NQ
NQ1!Neutral

Nasdaq futures added 0.1%, tech stocks had limited impact from geopolitical news.

Impact score20%
DX
DXYPositive

U.S. Dollar Currency Index

Dollar index supported by Fed tightening expectations and geopolitical uncertainty. Moderate impact.

Impact score50%
US
USDJPYPositive

US Dollar/Japanese Yen

USD/JPY rose to four-week high near 160, driven by rate differential and safe-haven demand. Moderate impact.

Impact score60%
EU
EURUSDNegative

Euro/US Dollar

EUR/USD edged lower; ECB expected to hike in June but geopolitical risks weigh on euro. Limited impact.

Impact score40%
GO
GOLDNegative

GOLD (US$/OZ)

Gold eased 0.3% as safe-haven demand remained limited despite geopolitical risks. Inflation concerns did not support.

Impact score30%

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