Asia Shares Hesitate as Gulf Tensions Persist

Author: Ethan Smith

Asia Shares Hesitate as Gulf Tensions Persist

Asian shares turned cautious on Thursday after a fresh U.S. military strike in Iran dampened hopes for a near-term peace deal. Oil prices bounced 2% and Treasury yields edged higher.

Markets Cautious

Japan's Nikkei fell 0.2%, South Korea's KOSPI was flat. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares dipped 0.1%. S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures added 0.1%.

Oil Prices Rise

Brent crude rebounded 2.3% to $96.50 a barrel, while U.S. crude added 2.2% to $90.59. Transits of the Strait of Hormuz remain at a trickle.

Inflation Data in Focus

U.S. core PCE inflation is expected to rise 0.3% to an annual 3.3%, well above the Fed's 2% target. Markets imply a 50-50 chance of a quarter-point rate hike by year-end.

Dollar Strengthens

The dollar index traded at 99.291. The dollar crept to a four-week top on the yen at 159.57, nearing the 160.00 barrier. The euro was a shade lower at $1.1620.

Gold Eases

Gold eased 0.3% to $4,445 an ounce, with limited safe-haven demand.

Impacted Symbols

Symbols affected by this headline and their sentiment signals

US
US10YPositive

United States 10 Year Government Bonds Yield

Higher oil prices lifted inflation expectations, pushing yields up. Moderate impact.

Impact score70%
CL
CL1!Positive

Oil prices rose 2% due to US strike on Iran and uncertainty over Strait of Hormuz. Directly impacted commodity.

Impact score90%
NI
NI225Negative

Japan 225 Index

Nikkei dipped 0.2% due to geopolitical risks and cautious sentiment. Limited impact.

Impact score40%
KO
KOSPINeutral

KOSPI Composite Index

KOSPI was flat with no direct impact from the news. Weak sectoral link.

Impact score20%
FE
FESX1!Negative

EUROSTOXX 50 futures slipped 0.2% due to geopolitical risks and inflation concerns. Indirect impact.

Impact score30%
DA
DAX1!Negative

DAX futures slipped 0.2% due to geopolitical risks and inflation concerns. Indirect impact.

Impact score30%
Z1
Z1!Negative

FTSE futures lost 0.3% due to geopolitical risks and inflation concerns. Indirect impact.

Impact score30%
ES
ES1!Neutral

S&P 500 futures edged up 0.1%, no clear direction from the news. Awaiting PCE data.

Impact score20%
NQ
NQ1!Neutral

Nasdaq futures added 0.1%, tech stocks had limited impact from geopolitical news.

Impact score20%
DX
DXYPositive

U.S. Dollar Currency Index

Dollar index supported by Fed tightening expectations and geopolitical uncertainty. Moderate impact.

Impact score50%
US
USDJPYPositive

US Dollar/Japanese Yen

USD/JPY rose to four-week high near 160, driven by rate differential and safe-haven demand. Moderate impact.

Impact score60%
EU
EURUSDNegative

Euro/US Dollar

EUR/USD edged lower; ECB expected to hike in June but geopolitical risks weigh on euro. Limited impact.

Impact score40%
GO
GOLDNegative

GOLD (US$/OZ)

Gold eased 0.3% as safe-haven demand remained limited despite geopolitical risks. Inflation concerns did not support.

Impact score30%

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