LatAm Assets Mixed as US-Iran Peace Talks Weigh

Author: Hasan Korugan

US-Iran Peace Talks Impact Latin American Markets

Latin American assets were mixed on Wednesday as conflicting headlines about US-Iran negotiations to end the Middle East conflict kept investors cautious. Oil prices fell over 4% after Iranian state TV reported a draft agreement, but the White House denied the claim.

Colombia in Focus Ahead of Vote

Colombia's peso strengthened 1.1% against the dollar, while the stock index slipped 1.9%. The presidential election on Sunday is a tight race between leftist Ivan Cepeda and right-wing candidate Abelardo De La Espriella.

Brazil Inflation Exceeds Target

Brazil's 12-month inflation rose above the central bank's target range for the first time since October 2025, raising doubts about further rate cuts. The real weakened 0.4%.

Mexico Engages in USMCA Talks

Mexico began negotiations with the US to revamp the USMCA trade agreement. The peso fell 0.4%, while the stock index gained 1.4%.

Chile and Argentina See Gains

Chile's equities rose 1.6%, boosted by a 4% jump in lithium producer SQM after strong Q1 earnings. Argentina's Merval index climbed 4.8% as opposition leaders seek an alliance amid President Milei's declining popularity.

Impacted Symbols

Symbols affected by this headline and their sentiment signals

IB
IBOVNegative

Bovespa Index

Bovespa index fell 0.3% due to inflation data and political uncertainties.

Impact score60%
IC
ICAPNegative

Colombia's main stock index fell 1.9% due to election uncertainty and political risks.

Impact score65%
US
USDMXNNegative

US Dollar/Mexican Peso

Mexican peso weakened 0.4% due to uncertainties in USMCA negotiations.

Impact score50%
US
USDARSNeutral

U.S. DOLLAR / ARGENTINE PESO

Argentine peso was largely flat despite political developments; direct impact limited.

Impact score30%
BR
BRN1!Negative

News on US-Iran peace talks directly impacted oil prices, with Brent crude falling over 4%.

Impact score85%
US
USDCOPPositive

U.S. DOLLAR / COLOMBIAN PESO

Colombian peso strengthened 1.1% against the USD ahead of presidential elections, driven by expectations of a right-wing victory.

Impact score70%
US
USDBRLNegative

U.S. DOLLAR / BRAZILIAN REAL

Brazil's inflation exceeding the target and reduced rate cut expectations weakened the real.

Impact score75%
ME
MEPositive

S&P/BMV IPC Index

Mexico IPC index rose 1.4% to a two-week high despite USMCA negotiations.

Impact score55%
SP
SP_IPSAPositive

S&P IPSA Index

Chile's IPSA index rose 1.6% driven by SQM's strong Q1 profit.

Impact score70%
SQ
SQM_APositive

SQM rose 4% after reporting higher Q1 profit and revenue, boosting the broader market.

Impact score85%
IM
IMVPositive

S&P MERVAL Index

Argentina's Merval index climbed 4.8% to a more than one-month high despite opposition alliance efforts.

Impact score75%
US
USDCLPNeutral

U.S. DOLLAR / CHILEAN PESO

Chilean peso was largely unchanged, not directly affected by the news.

Impact score20%
US
USDPENNeutral

U.S. DOLLAR / PERUVIAN SOL

Peruvian sol was unchanged, not impacted by the news.

Impact score15%

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