Oil Declines on Hopes of Hormuz Reopening Amid US-Iran Talks

Author: Emily Fairchild

Oil Prices Fall on Hopes of Hormuz Reopening

Oil prices declined in early Asian trade as traders weighed the prospects of a U.S.-Iran deal. There is hope for an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz despite renewed hostilities.

Signals of Progress

Tehran signaled that the strikes would not derail talks, while U.S. Secretary of State Rubio said it would take a few days to iron out a potential agreement. Uncertainty remains high.

Market Expectations

Capital Economics' Kieran Tomkins noted that while oil options data suggests investors expect prices to ease over the next three months, they have unusually low conviction. Options suggest investors see flows via the strait resuming soon as the most likely outcome, but they are implicitly placing a 37% chance on oil above $100 a barrel in three months.

Front-month Brent slipped 0.3% to $99.27 a barrel; WTI fell 0.7% to $93.24.

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